06 agosto 2020
The Economic Consequences of R̂ = 1
The Economic Consequences of R̂ = 1: Towards a Workable Behavioural Epidemiological Model of Pandemics: Here I posit a shortcut that can be deployed to allow for a tractable equilibrium model of pandemics with intuitive comparative statics and also a clear prediction that effective reproduction numbers (that is, R) will tend towards 1 in equilibrium. This motivates taking R̂=1 as an equilibrium starting point for analyses of pandemics with behavioural agents. The implications of this for the analysis of widespread testing, tracing, isolation and mask-use is discussed.
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StayAway Covid: após 38 mil casos, foram gerados apenas 730 códigos de infectados : Entre dois milhões de downloads e mais de 38 mil doe...
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The Tricky Math of COVID-19 Herd Immunity : Herd immunity differs from place to place, and many factors influence how it’s calculated.
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The Coronavirus Pandemic Isn’t Over—We Need to Act Accordingly : You might be tired of living this way. But the virus doesn’t care.